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ECONOMIC MODELING

Milliman Economic Scenario Generator

THE CHALLENGE

Reliable, quick validation is imperative

THE SOLUTION

Benefit from best-in-class ESG software and service

BENEFITS

Benefits of the Milliman Economic Scenario Generator

Take advantage of the cloud

Rely on best-in-class industry experience

Gain trustworthy results

FEATURES

Features of the Milliman Economic Scenario Generator

Broad set of models to choose from

Visual synthesis

Available support

Global reach

MILLIMAN ECONOMIC SCENARIO GENERATOR RESULTS IN ACTION

Advanced control on ESG configuration & validation is made easy — for better accuracy and compliance.

Customization

Screenshot of the Milliman Economic Scenario Generator

Validation

Client case study

See how the Milliman Economic Scenario Generator is helping businesses globally

Client case study

Delivering custom calibrated economic scenarios

Milliman Economic Scenario Generator (ESG) offered this client flexible capabilities with a cloud-native solution driven by the leading mathematical modeling of Milliman’s expert R&D team.

CLIENT CASE STUDY

Satisfying D+1 delivery requirement for major American insurer

With deep customization capabilities, Milliman Economic Scenario Generator (ESG) provided the long-term volatility modeling at the time required.

CLIENT CASE STUDY

Providing improved ESG tool for European multinational

By providing an effective solution alongside individualized support, the client found a better way to satisfy regulators.

CLIENT CASE STUDY

Harmonizing internal models with the Milliman Economic Scenario Generator

Leveraging Milliman Integrate architecture, Milliman Economic Scenario Generator was integrated into this insurer’s framework with the ability to deliver up to 10,000 scenarios at D+1

INSIGHT

Related insight

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White paper

Reducing the number of scenarios used for stochastic ALM valuation

We offer some valuable insights into scenario reduction and trajectory selection for stochastic ALM valuation that could help improve results and minimize computation.

Article

Impact of credit data for the valuation of insurance liabilities

This paper investigates how the choice of financial data can impact the calibration and the simulation of credit spread (credit default) scenarios within an economic scenario generator, as well as the insurance liability valuation metrics.

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Article

A new hybrid Random Number Generator for more accurate valuation of insurance liabilities

Increasing use of stochastic economic scenarios for valuation of liabilities has put more pressure on the operational process of carriers, but the RNG can help.

Article

Calibration accuracy of three variants of the Libor Market Model

We highlight a Libor market model with constant elastic volatility, showing an interesting trade-off between parameters used and quality of results.

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ARTICLE

Efficient computation of Solvency Capital Requirement using Multilevel Monte Carlo Methods

Many insurance companies are struggling to overcome the computational challenges involved in computing the SCR under the Solvency II regime.

ARTICLE

The impact of carbon risk factor on equity dynamics

With better understanding of climate transition risk exposure and stress tests proposed by regulators, internal models can help provide insights.

Article

Estimating long-term implied volatility for the valuation of insurance liabilities

This paper explores options available to address the challenge of deriving market-consistent but stable long-term volatility assumptions for valuation of liabilities.

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Article

Alternative asset classes: Why and what to model, and considerations for risk management

Challenges for companies in the alternative asset space include building an internal model and accounting for regulatory treatment for capital set aside.

ARTICLE

A realistic modelling of the dynamics of equity volatility

We describe a recent realistic modelling approach of equity volatility that offers advantages when using real world economic scenarios to analyze balance sheets.

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Article

LSMC Surgery

Least Squares Monte Carlo (LSMC) is a widely used proxy modelling technique in the European insurance industry.

ARTICLE

Sensitivity analysis for model risk management

Sensitivity testing with dependence has the potential for a wide range of applications in reporting, such as for Solvency II, IFRS 17, and balance sheet valuation.

ARTICLE

Neural network calibration of the DDSVLMM interest rates model, and application to weights calculation

We present a calibration technique for one complex risk neutral model, relying on neural networks and significantly reducing computational time.

Article

Challenges in the calibration of real world models within Economic Scenarios Generators

The best 'one-size-fits-all' economic scenario generator solution is one that provides the choice of different methods.

Article

A review of the Solvency II equity shock

The European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Authority (EIOPA) in 2019 published a study on market and credit risk modelling, observing that the equity risk shocks applied by the surveyed internal models are overall higher than those using the standard formula.

Article

Setting discount rates under IFRS 17: Getting the job done - Paper 3: Some practical considerations for reference portfolios

The principles-based approach under International Financial Reporting Standard 17 (IFRS 17) is both a blessing and a curse.

PRODUCTS

Products related to Milliman’s Economic Scenario Generator

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RESOURCES

Related resources

Article

Economic Scenario Generators: a risk management tool for insurance

Article

Signature based validation of real world economic scenarios

Article

Jacobi Stochastic Volatility factor for the LIBOR Market Model

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